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Adult T. rex walked too slowly to chase prey

Edmund·Wednesday, September 16, 2026 Edition
When the fossil record contradicts logic

A team of paleontologists in New Mexico found the first trackway left by an adult Tyrannosaurus rex. The footprints tell a specific story — the animal was walking, not sprinting, not accelerating into a charge, but moving at a steady pace across what was once soft floodplain mud 70 million years ago.

The walking speed, reconstructed from the spacing between prints, sits well below what modeling predicts a T. rex would need to pursue and catch prey across open terrain. But the number itself demands a question nobody in these papers has quite asked directly.

If an adult T. rex in the fossil record moved at this speed. If that speed is insufficient to close the gap on a fleeing hadrosaur in open ground, then the entire behavioral template we have built for this animal since the 1990s begins to crack. The pursuit-predator model — the image of a massive solitary hunter running down prey with raw speed. Was never proven by trackways or bones. Emerged from biomechanical modeling and the logic that something this large must hunt like something this large.

What the footprints reveal

The fossil record shows instead an adult moving deliberately, not the pace of an ambush predator stalking in hiding. Not the gait of an open-ground chaser either. This suggests T. rex hunted in coordinated groups where individual speed mattered less than positioning and encirclement, where prey animals with different acceleration profiles could be herded and separated. A pack animal, not a bruiser. The trackway rewrites the story not because it proves that model. Because it eliminates the alternative that nobody needed to question before.

“

We are often not doing what we thought we were doing.

”

This happens everywhere prediction meets evidence. A business builds strategy around customer behavior modeled in isolation, then discovers that real customers in real groups do something else entirely. An individual's self-image holds until a mirror moment shows them moving differently than they believed. We are often not doing what we thought we were doing.

Examine your model

Identify one assumption guiding a decision you make regularly—whether about people, markets, or systems—then ask what physical evidence (not prediction) actually shows about how it behaves.

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