Apple is raising AppleCare Plus prices again—fifty cents a month on MacBook Air, fifty cents on iPad, the new customers bearing all the cost while existing subscribers stay grandfathered in.
The move feels small enough that most people will absorb it without thinking. That's precisely the point.
In 2015, Apple faced a problem. iPhone upgrade cycles were stretching and hardware sales growth was slowing. So Apple tested something on iPhone 6s owners—it raised AppleCare Plus pricing from $99 to $129 annually, a 30% jump on a subscription most people never think about after purchase.
The logic was sound. These customers were locked in, already committed to the Apple ecosystem with high attachment to their devices and real friction to switch. What happened next revealed something crucial. AppleCare Plus adoption didn't collapse. Instead, it accelerated. The installed base was deeper than Apple's analysts expected. Customers would absorb the increase during upgrade cycles, when the $129 felt like a small add-on to a $1000 device decision.
It was sticky.
That playbook never changed—it just expanded across every product category where Apple's installed base is largest and most locked-in. The price creeps don't come all at once, and new customers only means existing ones don't defect in anger. The friction is so low that the decision feels individual and invisible rather than systematic. You become less a customer making choices and more a node in a network extracting trapped value from itself. The question worth asking isn't whether Apple will keep raising prices—it's whether you've built your own creative practice, your work, your relationships in a way that still gives you somewhere else to go if the cost becomes unreasonable.